LONG RANGE WEATHER FORECASTING

Dramatic Weather Events Seen Through a Geographical Natal Chart

A Chronology of Rhode Island's Great Storms

By Carolyn Egan

LONG RANGE WEATHER FORECASTING

The basic rules of long range weather forecasting originated with the astrologers of long ago, from Ptolemy to J.B. Morin and more recently, C.C. Zain in his book Weather Prediction.  In brief, the ideas that Zain puts forth includes the examination of seasonal Sun ingress charts and four lunar phases, new, full and quarters. The 4th and 1st houses, their ruling sign and planets are analyzed and blended to develop a weather forecast.

After following the basic rules for several years of forecasting weather, I have discovered that a more accurate forecast can be achieved when transits to a located chart of a state, country or region are included in the analysis.  

WHAT IS A GEOGRAPHICAL LOCATION CHART?

A geographic location chart is a well timed horoscope (birth chart) for an entire country, a state, or region and in the case of England, it is a coronation chart which has proved its worth.  In general, this type of chart will have angular cusps which are sensitive to transiting planets.  

The study of transits to a geographical location chart is a powerful technique that enables the astrometeorologist to create a more accurate long range extreme weather forecast.  Finding such a chart is not always an easy task.

It is well known that transits are a reliable timing method based on the relationship of a planet's current position in the sky to a birth chart.

Charts from Marc Penfield's book Horoscopes of Cities and States of the USA have been examined and transits to the charts often describe the daily weather if the chart is well-timed!  The list of dramatic weather events that follows in the state of Rhode Island and the transits to the location chart demonstrates the point of this article.

Dramatic weather is common in Florida and a chart for the state of Florida, when it became a state, has also been tested (fig 2).  For this article, Penfield's rectified chart of the Founding of Newport, RI in the year 1639 is used (Fig 1) along with the most dramatic storms in its history.

WHY USE A GEOGRAPHICAL LOCATION CHART?

Weather forecasts can be created without the aid of a located chart.  However, the additional information derived from the locational chart has more than once been the deciding factor for the final forecast.  

In order for a birth chart, the locational chart, to be of value in forecasting the weather for a country, a state or a region, the angles (the cusps of houses 1, 4, 7, and 10) must be sensitive to major transits at the time of a strong weather event.  Natal planets found close to the angular house cusps from either side will be sensitive as well.  The table of transit hits for the Rhode Island storms demonstrates this nicely. The Founding of Newport, RI chart has only one planet, Uranus, which is close to an angle, the 4th house cusp. Uranus scored very high in the hurricane transit hits.  The rulers of houses 1 and 4 also scored high.

The intensity of a weather event should reflect the number of and harshness of the planets transiting the angles and planets.  In fact, as an aside, once the art of weather forecasting is learned, one can use the weather terminology in the specified 1st and 4th houses in your own natal birth chart with surprising and revealing results!  

For example, Mars and Saturn in hard aspect to the 4th house cusp would mean 'violent and severe thunderstorms', and very often when the signs Gemini and Leo occupy the 1st and 4th house cusps (in some latitudes) the weather is fair, breezy and dry.   

After a chart such as the one demonstrated in this article, the Founding of Newport, RI, has been observed and is workable, the area of land it covers will vary due to the terrain.  In Southern New England,  the Newport chart covers major storms for Rhode Island and coastal areas of Connecticut and Massachusetts, all three states having the same climate and vulnerability.  In larger states such as Texas and California, more than one chart may be necessary to work with.    

In addition to using transits to the locational chart, other forecasting techniques such as progressions, solar arc directions, solar returns and a progressed declination graph may be applied.  

Meteorologists rely on statistical evidence to predict future cyclonic events.  Their statements of long range event probabilities change frequently, hold no water and are vague and useless.  The performance of astrometeorological forecasts constitutes a more accurate view of storm events proven in the past by several 20th century practitioners. The potential of the long range weather forecasting system continues to grow and one day the science oriented meteorologists may understand the value of integrating both models.

WHERE TO FIND A GEOGRAPHICAL FOUNDATION CHART

One very good source of timed charts is Marc Penfield's book Horoscopes of the USA and Canada.  Many charts have rectified times with very good source history.  I continue to test the charts for the USA coastal states for their effectiveness.  To be effective in this endeavor, the work must be done to discover additional located charts.  

Many of the older charts seem to resonate more with the location, than the charts for the state's entrance into the union.  The local library and historical society are two other sources where significant dates of founding or settlements may prove useful as well.  Historical text may include a general time of a foundation meeting or treaty that could be tested and rectified.  Without question, the internet continues to be one of our most valuable resources.

Generally, more than one chart may need to be tested for a location, but the chart for The Founding of the City of Newport, RI (fig. 1), rectified by Marc Penfield, is the one chart with angles sensitive to transits. A total of four charts were tested for Rhode Island.  The ruling planets of the 1st and 4th house cusp signs, the main houses in weather work, were also sensitive to transits as demonstrated in the following analysis.  The sensitivity of the planetary rulers of the 7th and 10th house signs is not necessary to the study because the 4th and 1st houses, the signs on the cusps and planets close to the cusps are generally the main weather indicators.


Figure 1

CHRONOLOGICAL ORDER OF RHODE ISLAND'S GREAT STORMS and
NOTEABLE TRANSITS TO THE FOUNDING CHART IN NEWPORT, RI

Aspects and Orbs
In most cases, the orb of influence is one degree or less.  In some cases an orb of two degrees is used and in one case, an orb of two and one half degrees was used within a pattern.  Two tables follow the storm descriptions and transits, summarizing the type of transit and the total hits to a point or planet.  All but one storm is of a tropical/hurricane category.  One winter storm that paralyzed Rhode Island, all of New England and parts of the northeast USA for nearly a week is included.  For each storm, the date of landfall is used.

 

TABLE OF DATES, STORM NAME AND TRANSITS

The table helps to identify and summarize the points or planets that are transited most frequently in the founding chart. In all cases, the planets listed first are the transiting planets.

LANDFALL DATENAME OF STORMTRANSITS TO NATAL
Aug 15, 1635Great Colonial Hurricane Venus conjunct Moon
Mars conjunct Moon
Venus square Uranus
Mars square Uranus
Jupiter opposite Saturn
Jupiter square Sun
Jupiter sextile 4th cusp
Uranus trine Venus
Oct 29, 1693Tropical cyclonePluto conjunct ascendant
Mars conjunct ascendant
Neptune conjunct 10th cusp
Uranus conjunct Mars
Jupiter square Uranus
Nov 1, 1778Late season hurricanePluto conjunct 7th cusp
Saturn square Saturn
Saturn square Sun
Aug 19, 1788Powerful hurricaneUranus conjunct ascendant
Neptune conjunct 4th cusp
Pluto square Sun
Saturn square Venus
Sept 23-24, 1815Great September GaleNeptune sextile 4th cusp
Jupiter conjunct 4th cusp
Uranus conjunct Jupiter
Uranus opposite Mercury
Oct 14, 1846Great Havana HurricanePluto square Moon
Saturn conjunct Neptune
Saturn trine Uranus
Oct 19, 1851Tropical stormNeptune square Venus
Uranus square ascendant
Saturn square ascendant
Jupiter square ascendant
Sept 16, 1858Category 1 hurricaneNeptune trine Moon
Uranus conjunct Mercury.
Uranus opposite Jupiter
Sept 28, 1861Tropical storm Neptune trine ascendant
Jupiter square Mars
Sept 21, 1938Great Unnamed Hurricane of 1938Pluto conjunct the ascendant
Uranus conjunct Sun
Saturn conjunct the 10th cusp
Mars square Venus
Mercury square Mars
Neptune sextile Neptune
Aug 31, 1954Hurricane CarolVenus conjunct Uranus
Neptune conjunct Uranus
Jupiter conjunct Moon
Uranus conjunct Moon
Pluto sextile Uranus
Sept 11, 1954Hurricane EdnaNeptune conjunct Uranus
Jupiter conjunct Moon
Aug 19, 1955Hurricane DianeNeptune conjunct Uranus
Uranus conjunct the ascendant
Saturn opposite Sun.
Sept 12-13, 1960Hurricane DonnaPluto square Venus
Neptune quincunx Venus.
Sept 21, 1961Hurricane EstherSaturn conjunct Uranus
Mercury conjunct Uranus
Mars conjunct Uranus
Uranus square Pluto
Venus square Pluto
Feb 6, 1978Blizzard of '78Pluto conjunct 4th cusp
Uranus opposite Sun
Neptune quincunx Sun
Sun square Sun
Sun square Saturn
Mare square Uranus
Sept 26, 1985Hurricane GloriaPluto square ascendant
Pluto quincunx Mercury.
Neptune quincunx ascendant
Uranus opposite Mars
Jupiter trine Venus.
Aug 19, 1991Hurricane BobPluto opposite Sun
Pluto square Saturn
Saturn conjunct 7th cusp
July 13, 1996Hurricane BerthaPluto conjunct Jupiter
Pluto trine ascendant
Neptune square Uranus
Uranus conjunct 7th cusp
Uranus trine Mercury
Saturn sextile Venus
Sept 17, 1999Hurricane FloydNeptune conjunct 7th cusp
Pluto opposite Venus
Mars opposite Venus
Saturn conjunct Sun

The aspects used are the conjunction, sextile, square, trine, quincunx and opposition. Please note there were only a few sextile and quincunx aspects.

NATAL POINT OR PLANETNUMBER OF HITS BY TRANSIT
Ascendant Leo (includes oppositions from 7th) 16
Uranus in the 4th house 13
Sun ruler of the 1st house 10
Venus ruler of 4th house Libra 9
IC or 4th cusp (included oppositions from MC) 8
Moon7
Mars4
Mercury4
Saturn 4
Pluto 3
Jupiter3
Neptune2

OBSERVATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS

The observation and analysis of the 1st and 4th house cusps and their ruling planets is essential to the study of long range weather forecasting using lunation charts. When the angle or cusp of the 1st and 4th houses, and/or the rulers are transited by planets there is a weather event. Transits to the same points and planets of the locational chart for Newport, RI are the highest totals.

The 4th and 1st house cusps and ruling planets, plus a planet close to the 4th house cusp of the Newport RI chart received the largest number of transits for the most significant storms of close to 400 years.

The ascendant/descendant (1st and 7th house cusps) axis is the horizon or the 'lay of the land'. We can combine the ascendant hits with transits hits to the ruler of the ascendant the Sun. The total of sixteen and seven transits is twenty-six.

The 4th house cusp was determined important by Zain and later George J. McCormack, an astrometeorologist for 50 years, proposed the 4th house cusp to be the receiver of the energies of the planets using seasonal ingress charts and the lunation charts and he claims that about one half of the forecast comes from this point. The 4th and 1st house cusps on any chart are determined by the date, time and location data.

In the Newport chart, the cusp of the 4th house received eight hits and the ruler of the Libra cusp, Venus, received nine for a total of seventeen hits. Natal Uranus in the 4th house, close to the cusp received thirteen hits. Combining all three, the cusp of the 4th, the ruling planet of the 4th cusp and Uranus, in the 4th total came to an amazing 30 hits.

The conclusion is that a geographical located chart compared with transits is a valuable addition to the study of long range weather forecasting.

I am hoping to encourage astrologers to look further into the study of weather because we all talk about the weather and think there is nothing we can do about it. It is my hope to improve astrology's image when more astrologers can provide accurate long range weather forecasts.

A recent addition to the weather website that was launched in May 2000, is a Tribute Page to those who are published and have made great strides in the field of long range forecasting. Well known astrologer Alphee Lavoie is featured here; he presented a lecture on long range weather forecasting to a group of astrologers in Rhode Island in the early 1990s. http://www.weathersage.com/tributes/

FUTURE FORECASTS

The article would not be complete without an idea of what the future may hold for Rhode Islan and nearby states in terms of dramatic weather events. Judging only from the study of transits to the Newport chart, the 2007 and 2008 hurricane seasons will have storms that will impact the region. However, the outer planets are not in position to affect the major sensitive points that are listed in the table and damage may be minimal.

For the years 2009 and 2010, the Newport, RI chart is mostly quiet. In 2011 there will be concern for both the winter and hurricane seasons. In the year 2012, stressful transits to the Newport chart prevail from July through November with connections to the eclipse of November 13, 2012.

The element of chance is always present in the study of astrology prediction and Mother Nature has not yet revealed all her secrets, but with the current crew of astrometeorologists, we have enough insight and experience to strive for a 90 percent accurate seasonal forecast.

Astrologers of all levels can begin to forecast weather with information from the C.C. Zain book or a self-study course I have designed and available on my website. Adding a geographical location chart for your area will greatly add to the forecast.

The State of Florida chart from Penfield's book is another excellent backup chart. (Fig. 2) A good exercise would be for the reader to select a few of the classic storms in Florida - Hurricane Andrew and the hurricanes of the 2004 season for starters. Set up the Florida chart with future lunations to see when strong transits to the angular houses, 1, 4, 7 and 10 will brew up another
weather event.


Figure 2


Carolyn Egan July 1, 2006 ©

Credits Thanks to Alphee Lavoie for the introduction to weather forecasting, to Nick Campion for his innovative lectures and to Judy Johns for her mundane work.

Bibliography:
Horoscopes of the USA and Canada by Penfield, Marc H. AFA
1635 Hurricane - The 1938 Hurricane pg 17; Wm Elliott Minsinger ISBN 0-945967-03-09

Web resources
Information on C.C. Zain and George J. McCormack http://www.weathersage.com/tributes/
General resource for all hurricanes http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane

Additional Web Resources
1635 Colonial Hurricane http://www.pivot.net/~cotterly/history.htm
1693 Tropical Storm http://www.answers.com/topic/list-of-new-england-hurricanes
1778 Tropical Storm http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_New_England_hurricanes
1788 Hurricane http://atm.geo.nsf.gov/dstreme/learn/19_w_sum.htm
1815 The Great Gale of 1815 http://www.geo.brown.edu/georesearch/esh/QE/Research/CoastStd/NEHurric.htm
1846 The Great Havana (Cuba) Hurricane http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_New_England_hurricanes
1851 Tropical storm http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_New_England_hurricanes
1858 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_New_England_hurricanes
1938 Great Unnamed Storm of 1938 http://weathersage.com/storms/index.htm
1954 Hurricane Carol http://www.geocities.com/hurricanene/hurricanecarol.htm
1954 Hurricane Edna http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/weather/hurricaneguide/sfl-hc-history-1950to1990,0,3890992.htmlstory?coll=orl-weather-hurr-utility
1955 Hurricane Diane http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Diane
1960 Hurricane Donna http://www.weather.com/newscenter/specialreports/sotc/honorable/1960.html
1961 Hurricane Esther http://weather.mercurynews.com/auto/mercurynews/hurricane/at1961.asp
1978 Blizzard of '78 http://www.hurricanes-blizzards-noreasters.com/78blizzard.html
1985 Hurricane Gloria http://www.geocities.com/hurricanene/hurricanegloria.htm
1991 Hurricane Bob http://www.geocities.com/hurricanene/hurricanebob.htm
1996 Hurricane Bertha http://www.usatoday.com/weather/wbertha.htm
1999 Hurricane Floyd http://www.deadlystorms.com/xtra/hurricane_timeline.htm

BIO
Carolyn Egan of Rhode Island, USA has been an astrologer for over twenty years. Her specialty is long range weather forecasting. In the last ten years, Carolyn has taken many steps to insure, promote and improve long range weather forecasting. She has also gathered a network of astrologers who are both students of her weather course and independent practitioners who are subscribed to the astroweather e-mail list at Topica.com. The subscribers are a global group and it is they who will carry on the study of Astrometeorology. Two students of the weather course are authors of weather books, one from Austria and another from Puerto Rico. In addition, other accomplishments in the field of weather forecasting are as follows:

* Design, prepare, and distribute hundreds of long range weather reports quarterly.
* Pioneer a global internet class on long range weather forecasting 1998-2002
* Design a basic self-study course on long range weather forecasting
* Design and develop a website in 2000 to popularize and promote long range forecasting
* Honor accomplished and published astrometeorologists on a tribute page at the website
* Lecture, write and teach the weather course internationally

Copyright August 1, 2006
Website http://www.weathersage.com