WEATHER TRENDS across the USA Winter 2003

Dec. 23 - 30th
Most of the west coast will receive a tempestuous storm with high winds and a fierce rainmaker. The Rockies will experience this storm a bit later as well as middle of America where even colder air permeates the plains.

The effects of the storm swoops as low as TX and LA but the east coast has mild and pleasant weather until close to the end of the period when the intense and stormy conditions prevail.
Southern portions of the states will have rain towards the end of the period as well.

Dec. 30 - Jan 7th 2004
Heavy wet snow over the Rockies and the storm intensifies with bitter cold mid period. Middle America has a difficult time with the record setting cold that settles in along with more snow. In the east, a few pleasant days but the nation's storm catches up later in the period.

Jan 7 - 14th
Milder weather in store for the west coast. More wintry conditions over the Rockies and the extreme cold persists in middle America. The east coast deals with high winds, the south as well, but they will have mild precipitation at the end of the period.

Jan 14 - 21st
Pleasant conditions for a few days where high pressure is nice in January. Extreme weather, snow and wind centered at Denver and more unpleasant and dangerous in the Midwest to eastern USA with ice and strong winds. Due east has that signature for better weather until the icy indicators take over later in the period.

Jan 21 - 28th
Sunny days on the west coast after the fog burns off. The region around Colorado may cry uncle when they are hit by dismal wintry weather again - perhaps the weather is good for the skiers.
Terrible wind storms in the southeast quarter of the USA -tornado activity from Florida up through Kentucky and Fargo (perhaps a winter storm in Fargo).

Jan 28 - Feb 5th
A difficult period for the west coast. The last time I saw a chart similar to this period, the great fires of 2003 began. Since it is not your dry season, there will be period of precipitation that could bring disaster, perhaps mud slides? Be aware of the dangers folks.

A danger of high winds and gusts is evident for Arizona up through Montana along with precipitation depending on latitude. A warm front makes for stormy conditions along middle USA making room for tornadic activity and thunderstorms. The southeast will contend with fog and rain.

Feb. 5th - Feb. 13th
It will be a chilly yet foggy time along the west coast. The wind kicks in mid period. Arizona up through middle Montana have indications of high pressure, cold and heavy wet snow in the north. Fair weather, at least fair compared to previous weeks, holds court in the Midwest and probably in the northeast as well. Rain and extreme conditions for the south, southeast when a Gulf system invades.

Feb 13 - 20th
Many fronts are indicated for the west coast this period. The temps may be high, then drop; fluctuating weather all period. The Rocky Mtns will find cold and wet conditions with high pressure moving in later in the period. It is cold in Kansas and snow follows. By the same token or weather fronts, Louisiana could have a super rain event. The rains moves along and the south is affected. The northeast will have its own problems with a stormy Valentines Day!

Feb. 20 - 27th
It appears to be a much quieter week for most of the nation. California and the west coast will have Jupiter (fair weather planet) in their pocket this period with only a small opening for any precipitation. The Midwest will have familiar humid building rainy weather good to prepare the fields for planting. Ditto for the south and southeast.

Feb. 27 - Mar 6th
Spring breezes to gusts glorify the west coast. However, the Rockies will have a low pressure develop with lowering temps and snow. The Midwest indications are for cold temps and an approaching storm with abundant snow as the Rockies system picks up moisture from the Gulf. The south and southeast may run into more fog with colder air coming in later in the period.

Mar. 6 - 13th
Strong breezes for the west coast and warming with some rain for the approach of the spring season. The warming trend continues over the Rockies and brings to mind the song "Its Springtime in the Rockies". The central states are finding their fair weather enjoyable. The eastern third of the states are dealing with extremes of weather with unstable fronts gathering.

Mar. 13 - 20th
This last week of winter gives us a break. Some precipitation on the west coast, a few downpours in places and gentle farmer's rain in others is welcome. Windy conditions are noted for the region as well. The gentle rains score again in the south, southeast and much of middle America as well. The northeast is blushing with wonderful weather.

INTERNATIONAL

This fall season indicated rough spots for the eastern coast of Africa where much trouble has been brewing for months. The east coast of Australia looks to have extremely warm weather, possibly record setting for their spring season. Mexico may be harshly affected by the tropical storms brewing early in the fall season All events transpired.

The current season Dec - March 2004 goes to Asia near India and the region near the city of Kathmandu is prominent in global headlines; this area is prone to earthquakes. Similar activity may also affect Mexico, also earthquake prone. Aggressive energy is shown again in east Africa where warring factions continue to fight. Could it be any more humid in Perth, Australia? The models are showing that it may be more warm and humid than average.

LONG RANGE FORECASTERS

REGIONAL

It should be a fairly mild winter overall but fraught with several storms, some that will be of a peculiar nature or not what you would normally expect in winter such as fog or rain. The changing weather scenarios will give respite for those stormy days and time to enjoy the winter season. This is a much better forecast while the middle America suffers through a more difficult season.

Local Winds Summary for the Northeast, Winter 2003

There are six points of analysis for the wind conditions for the northeast this winter. All models are pointing to very windy conditions all season long. The highest velocity of winds will be noted in the weekly summaries.

Southern New England and the Northeast
The following forecasts contain weekly summaries describing the dominant weather for each7-8 day lunar period. Not all weather events are described.

Tuesday, Dec. 16-23rd *Perigee Dec. 22nd ** Supermoon
A nor'easter may develop this period. Stormy and unsettled for the period. Traffic tie-ups and communications problems.

Tuesday, Dec. 23-30th Holiday forecast
Clearing to a pleasant period of weather. Only a very slight chance of new snow near the 23rd. in higher places. Normal temps and dry conditions. Warming later in the period with an unstable atmosphere in the region; some turbulence and rain at the end.

Tuesday, Dec. 30th 2003 - Jan. 7, 2004
It is a tricky week of weather events because of fast moving fronts. After perhaps a fine day, there will be different forms of precipitation from fog, to rain, to snow. Low pressure forms and storms develop early in the week with a strong west wind to follow. Later in the week another set of fronts bringing very strong winds and snow.

Wednesday, Jan 7-15, 2004
Plenty of cold air and gusty wind for this period. However, there is a warm front trying to push into the region. Icy, stormy conditions further east and north.

Thursday, Jan. 15-21, 2004 Perigee Jan 19th
A warming trend with dry conditions - a January thaw! Enjoy the respite from winter and watch the dismal weather in the Midwest. Will it come our way?

Wednesday, Jan. 21-29, 2004
Yes, the storm arrives with a very strong wind. It is cold enough to snow; blizzard conditions might
prevail, and traffic will be snarled.

Thursday, Jan. 29-Feb. 6, 2004
It will be cold! Perhaps record setting. Mid-period, warmer air moves into the region and areas of fog will form. Also chance of rain or heavy clouds near the 2nd.

Friday, Feb. 6-13, 2004
Warm and dry with extreme wind conditions. A cold front tries to move in but may not be successful.
Overall, except for the high winds, a pleasant week of weather, warmer than average and dry.

Friday, Feb. 13-20, 2004 Valentine's Day Feb. 14th Perigee Feb. 16th
Here comes the snow and sleet in a northeaster pattern! Low pressure develops and the snow falls in stormy conditions. Tune into your local stations for traffic warnings. Perhaps the Valentine holiday can be celebrated another day. The 18th may bring more precipitation with rain/snow.

Friday, Feb. 20-28, 2004
High pressure dominates it could be very cold for a day or two until westerly winds, rising temps and evaporation take place to begin the thaw. Saturday, the 21st is a good night for the Valentines holiday; a much better night to celebrate. Periods of rain and cloudy, dismal February weather during the week.

Saturday, Feb. 28-Mar. 6, 2004
Here we have one of those weeks where the transition to spring wants to take place. It begins with fog and misty kinds of weather. Early in the week it will be mostly cloudy, dismal and rainy. A cold front moves in around the 3rd of March.

Saturday, Mar. 6-13, 2004 Perigee March 12th
A mixed week of weather with some extremes. A potent, deadly wind will make headlines. Warmer air may move inl Some precipitation near the 8th and 10th is likely. An unstable atmosphere at the end of the period becomes turbulent with a some precipitation or clouds.

Saturday, Mar. 13-20, 2004 Perigee, March 12th
Warm to hot temps will have you smiling as spring approaches. Is it a heat wave as glorious weather days redeem us from winter? High pressure is at hand. But, a little rain to help bring in the new season won't hurt. Look for clouding up or precipitation towards the end of the period. Enjoy SPRING!

*Perigee periods, as noted, occur when the Moon is closest to Earth in its monthly cycle. The weather trend is to intensification of the weather with stronger gravitational pull (higher and lower tides) plus an increase in wind activity. When the Moon is perigee and the Moon is new or full, plus the Moon is in high declination degrees, all at the same time, it is labeled a **Super Moon. Intense weather and seismic events are found around the globe during this period.

One SuperMoon is found in the Winter 2003-4 lineup during late December.

For drought information, this site can give you the latest updates.
http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/monitor.html

The Farmer's Almanac says for winter 2003
If leaves wither and
hang on the bough,
it betokens a frosty winter
and much snow.
--Weather lore from The Old Farmer's Almanac archives

And the leaves did linger this fall! You may wonder if I check the Almanac forecasts - all sources of long range forecasting are of interest to this forecaster but the methods I use include more techniques and provides a better forecast although not as detailed for the whole country.

The Farmer's Almanac did not forecast hurricane Isabel, nor did they predict the horrendous winds mid-November 03 - I did.

My forecasts are created from the old and the newest techniques available to the Astrometeorologist who is a person who forecasts weather using the Moon, planetary influences and natural cycles. The models used by the ancients are recreated and improved upon each year. producing a weather report unlike any other. In addition, a weather website and a weather list have been created. The many features on the website may interest those who have an interest in weather. Look for free on-line books, and resources.

Long range forecasts for future special events, weddings, festivals or other social or business dates are available for the individual or business. Contact: e-mail carolyn@weathersage.com for details and fees for weather and personal consultation. Business forecasts with lifespan graphs are now available. What's the Weather in Your Life?

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