WEATHER REPORT
Long Range Forecast for Fall 2004
September 22 to December 21, 2004
National Weather Highlights,
A Hurricane Report,
And Local Weather for New England
By Carolyn Egan, Bristol, R.I.
42nd Season
Astrometeorologist
In the northeast, there will be gorgeous fall days, a hurricane anxiety that brings a close encounter with one of the many storms (see the hurricane report), and a smattering of local intense storms from rain to the expected advent of (early) snowfall.
Low pressure systems off the west coast will produce stormy events rolling into the western states, not unusual, but some are headline makers. The Rockies should have plenty of moisture in the form of fog to snow. Seismic activity in the west and in various prone places around the globe will be stronger this season. California bears watching early in November.
Very crisp temperatures in the Midwestern states turn the moisture to snow, even though it is just the fall season.
Florida and the Gulf States are not out of the woods yet - hurricane warnings are still prevalent through the end of the season, December 1, 2004.
Local meteorologists can produce a few days warning for advancing weather, or comment on hurricanes for days with ever changing direction, but without the use of the tried and true natural ways of forecasting weather, long range information is not within their reach. Check this season's Hurricane Report for results of my long range forecast.
Doing something about the weather is possible if you know the forecast months or a year/s in advance. Many corporations pay dearly for the long range information that is available from the company started by Dr. Irving Krick.
[ "STORM, Irving Krick vs. the U.S. Weather Bureaucracy", by: Victor Boesen ]
This report is free and contains local long range weather forecasts for the entire 3 month season for New England, plus a hurricane report and national highlights through the fall season. More national trends are also found in the text that accompanies the Solar Map and the transiting declinations. Take a look at these graphics and see how they are useful and informative.
If hurricane tracking is your hobby, try this wonderful resource to locate all of them! No doubt, some of the names are very familiar to you. http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/index.html
Click to view the transiting declinations for Fall 2004
Click to view the U.S. Solar Map with commentary
Click to view Fall Equinox chart for Washington DC (Libra Ingress)
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(The following is a recap of the forecast from the previous season with the addition of the actual weather results that occurred.)
HURRICANE REPORT from August through October 2004 This year, a planetary configuration insures that we will have a storm that will have record breaking wind conditions. Florida tops the list for the location of the strike, particularly in August. Hurricanes and Florida are almost synonymous, but landfall does not occur every year. I think extra and early preparation is wise for this season.The major weather events for several locations, the Mid-Atlantic States (Carolinas), Florida and the Gulf coast are described in this report; however, not all storms will be covered. New England may be brushed by one of the several storms this season. Take a look at the annual hurricane report from NOAA http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.html and compare their statistics with my hands on, descriptive analysis of when and where for the hurricane season. Full Moon July 31, 2004 (perigee July 30th) Results: Storms in Houston TX August 1st. Hurricane Alex developed, posed a threat to the islands and then passed to the east of Bermuda. (see local forecast for summer 2004) Quarter Moon August 7, 2004 Results: Hurricanes Bonnie and Charley developed with Charley the stronger storm. The Senegal Express (my nickname for the coast of Africa where the storms are spawned into the Atlantic to develop as they may) will be pumping out several systems headed our way. The storms seem to be appearing earlier in the season than usual; which ones will develop? Results: Storms named Danielle and Earl developed. New Moon August 15, 2004 Results: Tropical storm Earl came very close to Puerto Rico. There was no hurricane in the gulf coast area. The great lakes region experienced severe storms for this period. Quarter Moon August 23, 2004 (perigee Aug 27th) Results: Heavy rains reported in TX. Tropical storm Gustav completed the wet/windy along the east coast. Full Moon August 29, 2004 Results: Hurricane Frances, a slow moving system wrecked the Bahamas and Florida. The fire occurred in Sonoma Country, CA. Quarter Moon September 6, 2004 Results: The Carolinas had to contend with the remains of Hur. Frances. Powerful Hurricane Ivan developed posing threats to the island and perhaps Florida or the gulf coast area. The western Gulf is more likely. New Moon September 14, 2004 |
FALL SEASON HURRICANES AND NATIONAL TRENDS
Quarter Moon September 21, 2004 (perigee September 21)
Florida, with hot and humid conditions, continues for now and the
storm warnings are down for a while. A tropical system develops off the west coast of Mexico; flooding is possible but the winds don't have the punch to damage. The USA west coast has a harsh weather or seismic event that could erupt closer to San Francisco through the northwest. Flooding rains will move up through Texas and further north.
Full Moon September 28, 2004
Watch for a tropical system in the Caribbean that could develop further and move up to the Gulf area. In the dry regions of the Rockies the bad news is that gusty winds will amplify any fires in this area. Headlines will be made with these influences unfortunately.
Quarter Moon October 6, 2004
Watch for a flare-up tropical system in the Atlantic. A serious weather system will develop in the Gulf of Mexico. Memories of Hurricane Mitch in Honduras loom; this system may not be as potent, but it will be troublesome. Perfectly gorgeous weather in the mid Atlantic states.
New Moon October 14, 2004 Perigee Oct. 18, Solar Eclipse
Tropical rains could develop into a depression over Cuba which includes southern Florida. Another strong low pressure system develops in the Atlantic or if it is the same system as the previous week, it will intensify greatly. For the gulf coast area, TX, LA, watch for a cold front and a rainy system to merge resulting in severe thunderstorms. The northwest USA encounters a cold and windy front.
Quarter Moon October 20, 2004
The low pressure systems just will not quit. Watch the Atlantic again. Texas and other gulf states will receive moisture from what looks like tropical rains that could be windy and destructive. Nasty weather along the eastern third of the country, rain and thunderstorms. Rain will affect much of the west coast as well.
Full Moon October 27, 2004 Lunar Eclipse
The month of October has been plagued with low pressure systems battering so many places; this week will be no different. Rain in the northeast and tropical rains during this period for the Florida regions. Threatening rains are also found along the Central America coastline. Cold and snowy in the region of the Great Lakes. Pleasant weather should grace the west coast.
Quarter Moon November 5, 2004
California may encounter strong rumblings. The western gulf, near to Central America will face flooding rains. The southeast states should have pleasant weather most of the period.
New Moon November 12, 2004 Perigee Nov. 14
The gulf coast is quiet for a change. Southern California will have sudden temperature swings along with some rain. The Midwest areas have pleasant weather and the great lakes area will have very windy conditions.
Quarter Moon November 19, 2004
High pressure for most of the country with sunshine.
Full Moon November 26, 2004
The gulf coast remains quiet. A storm system moves into the northwest. Very cold, high pressure in the Rockies.
Quarter Moon December 5, 2004
Expect rain and cold weather over the Rockies. The northwest should be quite windy with wet weather coming in by the end of the period. Texas and the Midwest will have rain and cooler temps. Warming in the southeast with some turbulence disturbing otherwise fine weather.
New Moon December 12, 2004
In the northwest, expect blustery and rainy conditions. A cold front pressing from the upper north central states alters the pleasant weather in the south.
Quarter Moon December 18, 2004
Windy conditions will prevail across the nation this week. The Midwest adds the moisture to produce a snowfall. Colder air is over the eastern third of the nation creating icy scenarios.
New England and the Northeast USA
Early in the fall season it will be pleasant, warm and dry. There will be rainy and snowy days from mid October to the end of the season, highlighted in the weekly summaries. The first hard frost comes after the leaves viewing weekend around mid-October but temps will be mostly mild through November.| SUMMARY OF WEATHER EVENTS - WEEKLY | ||
| STORMY | MIXED | BETTER WEEKS |
| Sept. 21st | Sept. 28th (w/reservation) | |
| Oct 6th windy | ||
| Oct. 14th, 20th | Oct. 28th | |
| Nov. 5th | Nov. 12th, Nov, 19th windy | |
| Nov. 26th | Dec. 4th, 12th 18th | |
Local Winds Summary for the Northeast, Fall 2004
The wind indications vary throughout each season. The analysis of several charts gives a forecast of winds based on the planet Mercury and its travels through the zodiac plus the retrograde period.
From Sept 28th watch for gale force winds if not higher.
October 15-Nov. 4th continues with mostly strong winds tapering off near the end of the period.
November 4-29th will have a few stormy periods where the wind will be intense. November 30-December 20th has the wind tapering off to more average velocity for this time of the year.
Southern New England and the Northeast
The following forecasts contain weekly summaries describing the dominant weather for each 7-8 day lunar period. Not all weather events are described. Daily forecasts are available - see below.
Tuesday, September 21 - 27, 2004 *Perigee September 22
The line-up of planets is sure to produce a violent hurricane in the Atlantic. Our area may be on the fringe of the storm and precautions should be taken. The windy conditions from the storm will cover our area. The heat and humidity remain for another week. with rain or tropical downpours later in the period. North - a cold front pushes its way through.
Tuesday, September 28 - October 5, 2004
Expect foggy conditions early then mostly mixed conditions peppering the week ahead. Watch for whipping winds, perhaps to gale force, and electrical thunderstorms as the fronts collide. Possible rain at the end of the period, but it is mostly a dry, windy week ahead.
Wednesday, October 6 - 12, 2004 Columbus Day Holiday Weekend
Clearing to above average temp. Whipping winds continue to rip through the area along with an unstable atmosphere producing scattered, strong thunderstorms that seesaw the temps. Autumn leaves are swirling! Again, a mostly dry windy week. It wouldn't surprise me to see a new record set for velocity this week. A dip in the temps at the end of this period. The frost is coming!
Wednesday, October 13 - 19, 2004 New Moon Solar Eclipse *Perigee Oct. 18
The winds continue to blow our way and the thunderstorms may become more active. The first freeze of the season (in Southern New England). Time to end the mosquito invasion. The period begins with fine clear days, the wind velocity picks up with temps dropping. Cloudy, gloomy and cold into next week.
Wednesday October 20 - 26, 2004
Colder temps alternate with warmth. It is too early to snow - right? Snuggle up to something warm and let the windy storm blow over. Climbing temps as the fronts roll in. Showers at the end of the period.
Wednesday October 27 - November 4, 2004 Full Moon Lunar Eclipse
The week starts with really lovely days. A mostly dry week ahead with a chance of rain around Nov. 3 or 4th. Clearing to fine fall weather with rising temps.
Friday November 5 - 11, 2004
Beautiful, breezy fall days for openers. A cold front pushes through with high pressure. The wind builds up near the 10th. There is a storm in the area that is having fits and starts, probably related to an unstable atmosphere. The worst of the weather should be at the end of this lunar period (wind and rain). Seesaw temps once again. Moisture laden air moves up from the south to meet the cold air and we will probably see snow.
Friday, November 12 - 18, 2004 *Perigee Nov. 14
Warm, dry and breezy with ultra lovely days to enjoy in November. Dry indications for the period leave little room for precipitation.
Friday, November 19 - 25, 2004 Thanksgiving Nov. 25
A shift in the weather will bring intense winds to the region. Downed trees and destruction will make headlines. It will be very cold, dry and windy!
Friday, November 26 - December 3, 2004
It will be a rough Thanksgiving travel period. Low pressure develops and a storm with rain and wind impedes celebrations. Snow the further north one travels.
Saturday, December 4 - 10, 2004
The weekend could be rather delightful for this time of the year. However, later in the period there will be turbulence resulting in stormy weather with snow in the higher elevations and mixing to rain in southern New England that could carry over to the next period.
Saturday, December 11 - 17, 2004 **SuperMoon *Perigee Dec. 12
The storm in the Midwest catches up with the northeast. There is plenty of weather around us. The temps are mild early in the period, defining rain/snowfall lines but colder at the end with a chance of snow.
Saturday, December 18 - 26, 2004 Christmas Holiday
A nostalgic white Christmas is at hand! Moisture will be in the form of a rain/snow or mix because of the fluctuations in temperatures for the whole period. It will be a wet week with temps up and down and strong wind velocity.
*Perigee periods, as noted, occur when the Moon is closest to Earth in its monthly cycle. The weather trend is to intensification of the weather with stronger gravitational pull (higher and lower tides) plus an increase in wind activity.
When the Moon is perigee and the Moon is new or full, plus the Moon is in high declination degrees, all at the same time, it is labeled a **Super Moon. Intense weather and seismic events are found around the globe during this period.
**One SuperMoon in December, 2004
For drought information, refer to this site for the latest updates.
http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/monitor.html
CREATING THE LONG RANGE FORECAST
The long range forecast is created from many old techniques that were used by the ancients. They were able to forecast weather from the 1500's where we have documentation. We forecast weather using the Moon's position including the distance from earth, planetary configurations and natural cycles. The models used by the ancients are recreated and improved upon each year, producing a weather report unlike any other. In addition, a weather website and a weather list are available to everyone. The many features on the website may interest those who are weather aficionados. Look for free on-line books, and resources.Also, my colleague, Ken Ring, in New Zealand makes this offer: If readers join his free ezine list they will receive free weekly updates on what the Moon is doing and general coming weather in NZ and Australia. Just go to http://lists.topica.com/lists/weather and fill out your email in "subscribe". There are about 1230 on it now. Ken also writes an annual Almanac for the UK.
Daily Forecasts
Insure the weather for your future special events - weddings, festivals or other social and business dates. Forecasts are available for the individual or businesses. Contact: e-mail carolyn@weathersage.com for details and fees for weather and personal consultation. Business forecasts with lifespan graphs are now available. What's the Weather in Your Life?
*Basic fee for one day long range weather forecast $35.00
*Basic fee for an astrological consultation. $125.00
Did you know?
Astrological consultation can provide insights and timing for your future or the future of your business. Are you curious about what is ahead? Is there need for a raincoat in your next year or will it be sunny and mild in your personal future? Astrology doesn't change the future for you unless you are aware what the future may hold. Excellent examples of forecasting weather auger the information you may need.
Classes, workshops and consultation details available by telephone or e-mail. Call 401-396-9073 or e-mail carolyn@weathersage.com
Carolyn Egan September 6, 2004 ©
Meteorology even with the aid of weather satellites, computers and modern high-speed communication facilities, never will succeed in dealing intelligently with anomalies of weather beyond the actual time and progress of the phenomena.