WINTER 2008 WEATHER REPORT
Long Range Forecast for
December 21, 2008 - March 21, 2009
A PARCHED EARTH?
By Carolyn Egan, Bristol, R.I., Astrometeorologist
59th Season
INTRODUCTION Who can develop a long range weather forecast for next year or two or three years ahead? What we do is forecast weather any time into the future using the total sky, the positions of the Moon and the planets and their cycles. Our information models are very different from the scientific method. With the vagaries of weather systems and a variety of climates across the USA, understanding weather is a must in order to apply the information in a constructive and serious manor to the general public. The bottom line, however, is for the individual or the business owner to be prepared, to be advised of severe weather that would take place in their region. Too often we hear the phrase - I never thought it would happen to me. Living in a climate area such as Tornado Alley is proof enough of the necessity of being prepared. Hurricanes are part of the general climate of much of our coastline in the southern regions and knowing how many storms may come your way in the six month season is very helpful and, I think, motivating towards preparedness. The 2008 Hurricane Report projected twenty storms and there were sixteen named storms arriving at the times indicated on the report. After a few weeks of quiet weather at the end of the season, Hurricane Paloma raged across Cuba. The hurricane was noted in the report but you must keep in mind that the report was prepared more than six months prior. An ongoing study on earthquakes has proved to be successful with long range forecasting. A 6.3 mag quake occurred Dec. 18, 2008 at the location of the forecast that was written in September 2008. The quake report is continuing using weather forecasting techniques. More information to come as the study progresses. If the technique sustains itself, then Mother Nature's code will have been broken, however, it is too soon to make any pronouncements. Astrometeorology, the system used in this report was first practiced about 1,000 years ago by the ancients and improved upon in the days of Kepler and Goad. The 20th century produced additional study and forecasters and I plan to improve upon what is already discovered. My newly released long range weather course has been sold to individuals on every continent. Check out the contents of the course by clicking on the URL: http://weathersage.com/courses.pdf Enjoy the report and thanks for reading. According to Webster's Dictionary, Astrometeorology is defined as the investigation of the relation between the sun, moon, and stars, and the weather. An Astrometeorologist is one who studies and forecasts the weather using Astrometeorology. The tools of the trade or the models used in this weather report are the charts, maps, and graphs. Take a moment to look at the information and the easy to follow commentary. There is nothing else like it anywhere else. NATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS for the USA WINTER 2008 ACROSS THE USA - NATIONAL TRENDS AND REGIONAL HIGHLIGHTS The winter season weather is chaotic and forceful, not for the USA alone, but for many locations around the world. The picture of a parched earth represents the major energy force seen in the forecasting models used in astrometeorology. The suggestion from the models is that drought will increase in existing locations and new locations will emerge at the end of the winter. The initial thoughts were that global warming observers could further their cause with the strong warm fronts forecast at the beginning of the season. More than likely, the heating influence is offshore Peru producing an El Nino condition. It was rather alarming to see a confluence of energies that would represent searing heat in the Northern hemisphere during winter. All things considered, the forecast follows. The commentary that is with the SolarMaps graphic may be of interest to all. In the West, there is more marine influence which is usually representative of a tropical storm and for this location it can bring anything from mists, to fog to flooding. The precipitation can pass through the southwest states as well. Although the temperatures can result in an average season, there will be abnormal highs and lows to contend with. In the fall forecast, a similar influence resulted in smoky air pollution from the Santa Ana winds (the intensity of the winds was forecast). The Pacific Northwest will start with very cold temps that will change to milder but wet and stormy systems flowing into the area. This is typical weather for the Northwest but the storms are more intense this season and are capable of bringing flooding conditions more than once. Cooler and drier weather for the Southwest (interior). Colder and more snow activity along the Rockies. Middle America will have more serious weather for the winter. The chaotic systems zig zag from north to south with no stable pattern and with wild temperature swings that defy the usual expectations. Cold air from the north and very warm southern air will invade the Eastern third of the nation as well, coming from various invasion locations. Intense and fierce storms will appear along the coasts during the season but more specifically in the northeast. Seismic activity is heightened for quake prone areas around the globe this winter. The USA West coast is more strongly accentuated than at other times during this season. Offshore rumbles are strong and it's possible that water levels could rise.
MORE REGIONAL HIGHLIGHTS To be continued. DROUGHT MONITOR Take a fast check of the drought monitor here http://drought.unl.edu/dm/monitor.html and note that the south east is still in need of rainfall. This model changes with the seasonal influences. There will be more drought indications from the middle of winter to the end, in more than one section of the country.
NEW ENGLAND AND THE NORTHEAST USA EXTENDED FORECAST
Ingress Chart
for Washington DC
(1200x1024)
(Smaller version
800x600)
U.S. Solar map
with commentary
Declination Graph
with commentary
There are many well-trained astrometeorologists, actually. Long range forecasters are published, employed and making their mark around the world and they are forging ahead with good solid information that no other source is able to provide.
Winter - The weather patterns are chaotic as is the global view. Storms with plenty of wind will provide a mix of snow and rain for many weeks of the season. The better weeks of the winter are more dry weather but with that, dry weather and wins include to probability of brush fires. Wild temperature swings will continue to baffle the best meteorologists.
The weathersage models are different from what the meteorologists employ, allowing us to perform a long range weather forecast. The winter models are full of dire indications of the change that was both wanted and that was coming, regardless. How the weather will play out is difficult to discern this season - it is as if Mother Nature has divorced and partnered up with another weather influence that will reveal its effect and intensity on weather this winter.
Basically, what the seasonal model indicates is brutal for many places around the world. Here in New England and to some extent the northeast in general will experience extreme warming and fierce cold. Together, the fronts will create very stormy conditions yet with the strong winds, blizzard conditions and muddy meltings prevail and later in the winter, there is more dry than wet in the forecast - a mixed bag indeed. New England is very much a location that experiences a variety of weather, but this season, the variety will have the tag of extreme connected to it. The forecast deserved extra attention, trying to bring together the elements that identify weather conditions. This free long range forecast, in the form of weekly summaries, with good description of weather gives you an overview of the seasonal weather with more detail for New England and the northeast.
Meteorology even with the aid of weather satellites, computers and modern high-speed communication facilities, never will succeed in dealing intelligently with anomalies of weather beyond the actual time and progress of the phenomena..gif){kind=link}